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SYSTEM CHECKED: 03/09/2026 12:42 ICT
MARKET DATA AS OF: 02/09/2026 08:30 ICT
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Coconut Market Intelligence & In-Depth Analysis

Comprehensive market commentary, factory intake demand, export protocols, and supply chain price spreads.

Market Regime
Stable / Balanced
Current Farm-gate 90,000 VND / 12 nutsSiamese Green · Grade 1 · 1.2 to < 1.4 kg/nut · Ben Tre
Observed Window Range85,000 – 95,000 VNDVerified Field Surveys (17/08 – 02/09)
Seasonal Archive Baseline50,000 – 170,000 VNDHistorical Agricultural Baseline (Trough 50k · Peak 170k)
Destination Market (Hanoi) 144,000 – 180,000 VNDGrade 1 Size L · Derived Midpoint 162,000 VND (+80.0%)

12-Month Price Rhythm & Volatility

Price Trajectory & Trend Explorer

Interactive chart with verified milestones & seasonal archive
Observed Benchmark (Grade 1 · Size L)90,000 VND / 12 nuts
Observed Field Change-5,000 VND (-5.3%)
Observed Series High95,000 VND / 12 nuts
Observed Series Low90,000 VND / 12 nuts
40k75k110k145k180k24/1109/0213/0415/0617/0801/0902/0990k

Cross-Variety & Regional Sourcing Benchmarks

Representative Benchmark Prices by Product Group

Directly traced to canonical price matrix records with explicit layer, size and unit

Siamese Green (Standard)Farm-gate · Grade 1 · 1.2 to < 1.4 kg/nut · Ben Tre
90,000 VND
Selected Premium SiameseCentral Depot · Premium · >= 1.4 kg/nut · Ben Tre
107,500 VND
Malayan Dwarf (Pointed)Export Preprocessing Facility · >= 1.3 kg/nut · Ben Tre
90,000 VND
Hybrid Coconut (Large)Central Depot · Large Grade · >= 1.8 kg/nut · Ben Tre
97,500 VND
Aromatic Pandan CoconutCooperative Buying Station · Grade A · >= 1.2 kg/nut · Ben Tre
147,500 VND
Industrial Mature CoconutProcessing Factory Gate · Copra >= 11mm · >= 1.2 kg/nut · Ben Tre
Insufficient strictly comparable observations

Mekong Delta Origin Farm-gate Benchmark (Strict Like-for-Like)

Benchmark Spec: Siamese Green · Grade 1 · 1.2 to < 1.4 kg/nut · Farm-gate · VND / 12 nuts

Ben Tre (Origin Hub · Base)Farm-gate · Grade 1 · 1.2 to < 1.4 kg/nut (Range 85k–95k)
90,000 VNDBASE REFERENCE
Tien Giang (Chau Thanh / Cho Gao)No verified farm-gate record at 1.2 to < 1.4 kg/nut specification
Insufficient strictly comparable observations
Vinh Long (Surrounding Region)No verified farm-gate record at 1.2 to < 1.4 kg/nut specification
Insufficient strictly comparable observations
Tra Vinh (Surrounding Region)No verified farm-gate record at 1.2 to < 1.4 kg/nut specification
Insufficient strictly comparable observations

Origin-to-Destination Market Spread: Ben Tre Farm-gate vs Hanoi Terminal Wholesale

Strict like-for-like comparison for Siamese Green Grade 1 (1.2 to < 1.4 kg/nut). Observed range: 144,000 – 180,000 VND / 12 nuts with 162,000 VND derived midpoint · Reflects inter-regional cold-chain logistics, handling, and distribution margins.

Ben Tre (Origin Farm-gate Benchmark)Farm-gate · Grade 1 · Size L (1.2 to < 1.4 kg/nut)
90,000 VND / 12 nutsORIGIN BASE (~7,500 VND/nut)
Hanoi (Terminal Wholesale Market)Observed Range (12k–15k/nut) · Derived Midpoint: 162,000 VND / 12 nuts
144,000 – 180,000 VND / 12 nuts+72,000 VND (+80.0%)

Supply Chain Spread & Annual Seasonality

Supply Chain Spread — Standard Size L (1.2 to < 1.4 kg/nut)

Ben Tre Farm-gate (Producers)Grade 1 · Size L (1.2 to < 1.4 kg/nut) · Reference Benchmark (Range 85k–95k)
90,000 VND / 12
Ben Tre Central Depot (Observation)Depot survey observation · Note: Under review for delivery/payment terms
93,000 VND / 12
Ben Tre Cooperative (HTX)Insufficient data for exact Size L standard
Insufficient strictly comparable observations
Hanoi Wholesale Terminal MarketObserved Range (12k–15k/nut) · Derived midpoint: 162,000 VND / 12 nuts
144,000 – 180,000 VND / 12

Supply Chain Spread — Selected Premium Size XL (>= 1.4 kg/nut)

Ben Tre Farm-gate / Local TraderSelected VIP · Size XL (>= 1.4 kg/nut)
100,000 VND / 12
Ben Tre Cooperative Buying StationCooperative intake · Size XL (>= 1.4 kg/nut)
102,500 VND / 12
Ben Tre Central Depot (Premium)Central Depot intake · Size XL (>= 1.4 kg/nut)
107,500 VND / 12
Hanoi Wholesale Terminal (Size XL)Observed Range (14.5k–18.0k/nut) · Derived midpoint: 195,000 VND / 12 nuts
174,000 – 216,000 VND / 12

Annual Seasonality & Price Dynamics (Historical Baseline)

Q1 (Jan–Mar: Dry Start)
125,000 VND
Q2 (Apr–Jun: Peak Summer)
165,000 VND
Q3 (Jul–Sep: Rainy Season)
95,000 VND
Q4 (Oct–Dec: Peak Harvest)
65,000 VND

Today's Core Market Highlights

  • [OBSERVED] Fresh Siamese green coconuts (Grade 1 Size L 1.2 to < 1.4 kg/nut) reference at 90,000 VND / 12 nuts (range 85,000 – 95,000 VND; export-selected reaches 95,000 VND) at Ben Tre farm-gate.
  • [OBSERVED] Industrial mature coconuts maintain firm pricing at 105,000 – 120,000 VND / 12 nuts on steady factory intake across major Mekong Delta processing clusters.
  • [OBSERVED] Malayan Dwarf conical coconuts (>=1.3kg) receive active demand for diamond-cut export to international markets under official phytosanitary protocols.

In-Depth Market Intelligence Commentary

[ANALYSIS] 1. Industrial Processing Demand: Steady export intake for organic coconut milk, virgin coconut oil, and desiccated coconut continues to provide firm support for industrial raw material prices across Mekong Delta processing clusters (Giao Long, Phong Nam).

[ANALYSIS] 2. Official Export Protocols: Standardization of packing facilities (PHC) and growing area codes (PUC) under official phytosanitary protocols creates clear market incentives for premium export grading (>=1.3kg with optimal sweetness).

[OUTLOOK] 3. Water Resources & Seasonality: Seasonal monsoon rainfall across the Mekong Delta may help reduce estuarine salinity risks along the Tien and Ham Luong rivers, supporting healthy young fruit development into Q4.

[REGIONAL CONTEXT] 4. Regional Sourcing Context: Farm-gate benchmark in Ben Tre is verified at 90,000 VND / 12 nuts (Size L 1.2 to < 1.4 kg/nut; range 85k–95k; export-selected 95k); surrounding regional observations currently lack identical specifications for direct comparison.

Live Market Factors & Impact Signals

Independent synthesis of active supply, demand, weather, and export factors driving market movements.

EXPORT_PROTOCOLUpward Pressure
Phytosanitary Protocol Compliance & Export Growing Area Code (PUC) StandardizationStandardized phytosanitary packaging protocols create firm price incentives for premium export-grade coconuts (>=1.3kg, high brix).
PROCESSING_DEMANDFirm Support
Deep-Processing Industrial Parks Maintain High Intake CapacitySteady export orders for organic coconut milk and desiccated coconut maintain steady intake for industrial mature coconuts.
WEATHER_AGRONOMYSeasonal Balance
Mekong Delta Seasonal Rainfall Mitigates Estuarine Salinity RisksWidespread seasonal rainfall across Tien and Ham Luong estuaries may help reduce salinity risks, supporting favorable young fruit development for upcoming Q4 harvest cycles.

Verified Market News & Industry Signals

STRATEGIC REGIONAL INTELLIGENCE

Vietnam – Thailand Coconut Competitiveness in China

Comprehensive comparative assessment of origin costs, logistics windows, wholesale dynamics, and consumer channel positioning.

China Export AttractivenessCONDITIONALLY FAVORABLEFavorable signals supported by official phytosanitary protocols (PUC/PHC) and steady wholesale demand, subject to ongoing logistics and packaging cost verification.
Vietnam Domestic PullBALANCEDNorthern terminal wholesale observed range (144,000 – 180,000 VND / 12 nuts, derived midpoint 162,000 VND) maintains robust domestic absorption, supporting origin farmgate stability.
Thai Competitive PressureMODERATEThai Nam Hom maintains strong brand equity in premium Tier-1 retail; Vietnam holds substantial competitive pricing power in high-volume wholesale channels.
Regional Diversion RiskMONITOREDCross-border trade and transit route developments are tracked continuously for potential indirect volume shifts into primary destination seaports.
Comparative DimensionVietnam (Origin Core)Thailand (Nam Hom Core)Strategic Assessment
Primary Variety & SpecSiamese Green & Malayan Dwarf (Grade 1, 1.2 to < 1.4 kg)Nam Hom Aromatic Coconut (Grade A, >= 1.2 kg)PARTIALLY_COMPARABLE (Distinct aroma profile vs high natural sweetness)
Origin Farm-gate Cost90,000 VND / 12 nuts (~7,500 VND/nut) (Range 85k–95k; Export-selected 95k)15.00 – 18.00 THB/nut (~11,000 – 13,100 VND/nut)Vietnam holds a 28% – 42% origin farmgate reference cost advantage (~35% midpoint)
Logistics & Transit Window to South China2–4 days (Land border Pingxiang or Sea route HCMC-Guangzhou)6–8 days (Sea route Laem Chabang to Guangzhou/Shenzhen)Shorter transit window supports fresh shelf-life on arrival
Wholesale Price in Guangzhou (Jiangnan)Guangzhou Jiangnan: 9.00 – 10.50 CNY/nut (~31,300 – 36,500 VND); Hanoi Wholesale: 144,000 – 180,000 VND / 12 nuts (midpoint 162k)11.50 – 13.50 CNY/nut (~40,000 – 47,000 VND)Vietnamese coconut priced ~20% more competitively
Modern Retail Recognition (Tier-1 Cities)Expanding steadily with official PUC/PHC protocolsEstablished 15-year brand equity in premium retailThailand holds long-term retail brand equity; Vietnam expands wholesale presence
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